South Korea and the United States launched joint drills Monday involving
thousands of troops, defying North Korea's apocalyptic threat to
repudiate the 60-year-old Korean War armistice in retaliation.
The
start of the two-week "Key Resolve" exercise follows a week of
escalating tensions on the Korean peninsula, with North Korea also
threatening nuclear war over UN sanctions adopted after its third atomic
test last month.
Pyongyang has condemned the annual joint
manoeuvres as a provocative invasion rehearsal and announced that --
effective Monday -- it was scrapping the 1953 armistice and voiding
non-aggression treaties signed with the South.
The South's
Unification Ministry confirmed that the North appeared to have carried
through on another promise to cut a telephone hotline between Pyongyang
and Seoul.
"The North did not answer our call this morning," a
ministry spokeswoman said. The hotline was installed in 1971 and the
North has severed it on five occasions in the past -- most recently in
2010.
In a dispatch late Monday from its official news agency
KCNA, North Korea restated its view that the armistice, "which has
existed for form's sake, would be completely invalid from March 11".
The
US-South Korean wargames are "bringing the dark clouds of a nuclear war
to hang over the Korean peninsula", KCNA added, while vowing that North
Korea's armed forces were ready for an "all-out action".
Rodong
Sinmun, the newspaper of the North's ruling communist party, said that
with "the ceasefire agreement blown apart... no one can predict what
will happen from now on".
Voiding the armistice theoretically
paves the way for a resumption of hostilities, as the two Koreas never
signed a formal peace treaty and remain technically at war.
"The
North is giving the impression it wants to put things back to where they
were 60 years ago," said Yang Moo-Jin, a professor at the University of
North Korean Studies in Seoul.
Experts point out that North Korea has declared the ceasefire dead or obsolete nearly a dozen times in the past 20 years.
On
the last occasion in 2009, the North specifically said it would no
longer guarantee the safety of US or South Korean naval vessels
operating near the disputed maritime border.
The sinking of a South Korean naval corvette and the shelling of a South Korean island near the border followed in 2010.
Sabre-rattling
and displays of brinkmanship are nothing new in the region, but there
are concerns that the current situation is so volatile that one
accidental step could escalate into serious confrontation and conflict.
Having
issued so many dire warnings, the North will feel obliged to take some
provocative action, observers say. Yang predicted short-range missile
tests or an incursion across the sea border.
The analyst said he
found it "particularly alarming" that North Korea's young leader Kim
Jong-Un appeared content to act with no concern for the response of ally
China -- widely seen as losing patience with its volatile neighbour.
"Key
Resolve" is an annual, largely computer-simulated exercise, but still
involves the mobilisation of more than 10,000 South Korean and 3,500 US
military personnel. About 28,500 US troops are stationed in South Korea.
The
South Korean Defence Ministry says North Korea is expected to carry out
its own large-scale military drill along its eastern front this week,
involving the army, navy and air force.
North Korean artillery
bases on islands close to the disputed maritime border have already
placed their cannon in firing positions, ministry officials said.
The
North's foreign ministry has already warned that a second Korean War is
"unavoidable" and threatened "pre-emptive nuclear attacks" on the
United States and South Korea.
The North is not seen as having the ability to deliver a nuclear warhead to the US mainland.
South
Korea, which usually shrugs off Pyongyang's fiery rhetoric, has
promised to retaliate to any provocation with a precision strike on the
North's leadership command.
The surge in tensions is an early
challenge to South Korea's new President Park Geun-Hye, who was only
sworn in two weeks ago and is still without a confirmed defence
minister, national security adviser or intelligence chief.
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