WASHINGTON (AP) — The United States moved closer to the possibility
of the first-ever default on the government's debt Sunday as Speaker
John Boehner adamantly ruled out a House vote on a straightforward bill
to boost the borrowing authority without concessions from President
Barack Obama.
With no resolution in sight, Treasury Secretary Jack Lew warned that
Congress is "playing with fire" as he called on lawmakers to quickly
pass legislation re-opening the government and a measure increasing the
nation's $16.7 trillion debt limit.
The government shutdown precipitated by the budget
brinkmanship entered its sixth day with hundreds of thousands of federal
employees furloughed, national parks closed and an array of government
services on hold.
Lew said Obama has not changed his opposition to coupling a bill to
re-open the government and raise the borrowing authority with Republican
demands for changes in the 3-year-old health care law and spending
cuts.
Boehner insisted that Obama must negotiate if the president wants to
end the shutdown and avert a default
that could trigger a financial
crisis and recession that would echo the events of 2008 or worse. The
2008 financial crisis pushed the country into the worst recession since
the Great Depression of the 1930s.
"We're not going to pass a clean debt limit increase," the Ohio
Republican said in a television interview. "I told the president,
there's no way we're going to pass one. The votes are not in the House
to pass a clean debt limit, and the president is risking default by not
having a conversation with us."
Boehner also said he lacks the votes "to pass a clean CR," or
continuing resolution, a reference to the temporary spending bill
without conditions that would keep the government operating. Democrats
argue that their 200 members in the House plus close to two dozen
pragmatic Republicans would back a so-called clean bill if Boehner just
allowed a vote, but he remains hamstrung by his tea party-strong GOP
caucus.
"Let me issue him a friendly challenge. Put it on the floor Monday or
Tuesday. I would bet there are the votes to pass it," said Sen. Chuck
Schumer, D-N.Y.
In a series of Sunday television appearances, Lew warned that on Oct.
17, when he exhausts the bookkeeping maneuvers he has been using to
keep borrowing, the threat of default would be imminent.
"I'm telling you that on the 17th, we run out of the ability to borrow, and Congress is playing with fire," Lew said.
Lew said that while Treasury expects to have $30 billion of cash on
hand on Oct. 17, that money will be quickly exhausted in paying incoming
bills given that the government's payments can run up to $60 billion on
a single day.
Treasury issued a report on Thursday detailing in stark terms what
could happen if the government actually defaulted on its obligations to
service the national debt.
"A default would be unprecedented and has the potential to be
catastrophic," the Treasury report said. "Credit markets could freeze,
the value of the dollar could plummet, U.S. interest rates could
skyrocket, the negative spillovers could reverberate around the world."
Private economists generally agree that a default on the U.S. debt
would be extremely harmful, especially if the impasse was not resolved
quickly.
"If they don't pay on the debt, that would cost us for generations to
come," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. He said a
debt default would be a "cataclysmic" event that would roil financial
markets in the United States and around the world.
Zandi said that holders of U.S. Treasury bonds would demand higher
interest rates which would cost the country hundreds of billions of
dollars in higher interest payments in coming years on the national
debt.
Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, a force in pushing Republicans to link
changes to the health care law in exchange for keeping the government
running, spelled out his conditions for raising the borrowing authority.
"We should look for three things. No. 1, we should look for some
significant structural plan to reduce government spending. No. 2, we
should avoid new taxes. And No. 3, we should look for ways to mitigate
the harms from 'Obamacare,'" Cruz said, describing the debt ceiling
issue as one of the "best leverage the Congress has to rein in the
executive."
Some Republicans, such as Rep. Steve King of Iowa, dismiss the
warnings about a government default as an exaggeration, suggesting U.S.
credit won't collapse and calling the talk "a lot of false demagoguery."
Asked how the standoff might end, Boehner said Sunday on ABC that he was uncertain: "If I knew, I'd tell you."
The Ohio Republican added that Obama can call him any time to start
negotiations to end the shutdown. "He knows what my phone number is,"
Boehner said.
Privately, administration officials say they don't think Boehner and
Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell want a default as they realize
it will be far worse than a shutdown, but the two don't know how to
avoid it or when to try.
In one promising development, a large chunk of the furloughed federal
work force is headed back to the Pentagon on Monday, and those who
remain at home or are working without paychecks are a step closer to
getting back pay once the partial government shutdown ends.
Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel ended the argument for most Pentagon
civilian employees, ordering nearly all 350,000 back on the job. Hagel
said he based his decision on a Pentagon interpretation of a law called
the Pay Our Military Act.
The Senate will try to vote this week on a bill that passed the House
unanimously on Saturday to pay federal workers for days missed.
Boehner and Schumer were interviewed on ABC's "This Week," and Lew
and Cruz on CNN's "State of the Union." Lew also appeared on CBS' "Face
the Nation," ''Fox News Sunday" and NBC's "Meet the Press."
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