A things to do list(REUTERS/Afolabi Sotunde)
No one is
sure what the outcome of the Nigerian elections will be. In recent days
the state-by-state projections have multiplied, occupying the front
pages of major Nigerian newspapers. The opposition believes that had the
elections held as originally scheduled, in February, before a
controversial postponement, General Muhammadu Buhari would have won
comfortably over president Goodluck Jonathan.
But six weeks,
in politics, is an eternity. Since the postponement the momentum has
swung away from Buhari’s All Progressives Congress, towards the ruling
Peoples Democratic Party. What is
unclear is the extent to which the gap
between the two parties – if indeed there was any – has narrowed.
There
is understandable nervousness regarding these elections, never before
now, it seems, have the stakes been this high. If the election takes
place as planned (there are a number of court cases that appear aimed at
scuttling it) and is not attended by a stalemate, and Buhari is
declared winner by the electoral commission, here are five things the
new President should – or will have to – do:
1. Apologize
Thirty
years ago Buhari and his deputy, the late Tunde Idiagbon, ran the
country as stern, unsmiling, bordering-on-ruthless military generals.
They jailed hundreds of politicians (a good number of them unfairly;
such was the blanket nature of the clampdown), muzzled the press,
retroactively instituted the death sentence for drug trafficking
(resulting in the execution of three convicted persons), and generally
presided over an increasingly stifling atmosphere. While they may have
had good intentions – cleaning up in the wake of a corrupt and inept set
of politicians – and while it is important to understand that a
dictatorship, by its very nature, requires dictatorial action, I still
think that Buhari owes some people, or groups of persons, an apology; a
symbolic action to turn the page on a past that was as marked by error
as it was by its idealism. People like Adeyemi Adefulu and Tinuoye
Shoneyin, who insist the Buhari regime unjustly treated him – even while
taking their place on a growing list of Buhari victims who have since
forgiven him and are now championing his candidacy. Shoneyin’s daughter
Lola, a writer, is even on Buhari’s campaign team and has written on
this.
Adefulu says: “I [would] still like Buhari to vocalize
an apology and offer some succour to people like me whom his government
brutalized in the past. It is the least he can do. To do so is not
weakness. Indeed, it is strength to admit the mistakes of the past and
to promote national reconciliation.”
Assert
There
will be hundreds of appointments to be made, starting May 29 –
ministers, special advisers, senior special assistants, special
assistants, ambassadors, members of governing boards for tens of federal
government bodies, possibly even new leadership for the military and
police. Much of the attention will be on his choice of chief of staff,
finance and petroleum ministers, and his economic management team.
In
his book, The Sixteen ‘Sins’ of General Muhammadu Buhari, Tam
David-West, Buhari’s minister of petroleum during his days as military
head of state, and an enduring supporter, says his appointment as a
minister came as a surprise; based purely on his resume and his
reputation. While Buhari’s pedigree suggests that in making his key
appointments merit will stubbornly trump political pressure, it is
important to note that he is also now, in his most recent incarnation as
presidential candidate of a motley coalition of politicians, a much
more pragmatic player than ever before.
Nigerians will also
be expecting him to provide moral authority and hands-on leadership to
the team. He has himself hinted, in a recent letter to Nigerians, of his
desire to ensure “the Federal Executive Council, which has been turned
to a weekly session of contract bazaar, will concentrate on its
principal function of policy making.”
Assess
Four
years of $100 plus per oil barrel prices have come to an end, and
Nigeria hasn’t got very much to show for it; understandable when you
consider that the last four years have been awash with stories of dodgy
oil deals and large-scale oil bunkering. Buhari’s first task will be to
assess just how bad things are. (We already have an idea, Nigeria is
expected to earn, this year, only two thirds of what it earned in oil
revenues last year). In recent speeches Buhari has repeatedly hinted at
drawing a line between past and present, by which he means restricting
his anti-corruption clampdown to infractions that occur on his watch as
president, and not those that preceded him. This seemingly mollifying
stance is likely to have arisen on account of the frenzy with which the
ruling party has sought to portray him as being still as obsessed with
sending perceived opponents to jail as he was three decades ago. As a
civilian President he will probably realize that he has to decide, on a
case-by-case basis, where that line-drawing will apply, and where it
will not.
Finally, Nigerians deserve, within Buhari’s first
hundred days in office, a State of the Nation Address, in which he will
provide an honest and detailed view of the country’s financial
situation. Which leads to the next point:
Articulate
The
entire system of government communication requires overhauling.
Currently it’s divided among several officials, including a minister of
information, a special adviser to the president on media, and any number
of presidential assistants and special assistants assigned to specific
functions like “social media”, “new media” and “public affairs. The
result is an alarming incoherence, visible every time you open a
newspaper, or your Twitter feed. As president Buhari should
immediately take steps to streamline government communications, and
create a unified, hierarchical structure in which all roles and
responsibilities are clarified. He may also want to consider creating a
central management team for government communications, similar in intent
and style to the one former president Obasanjo created for the economy.
Attack
Boko
Haram has in the last few years proven to be the ultimate
disciplinarian of the Nigerian state. If elected, Buhari should take
immediate steps to shore up the confidence and capacity of the Nigerian
military. His opponents have worked hard at labeling him an Islamic
fundamentalist, an apologist for Sharia Islamic law, and even a Boko
Haram sympathiser. On the strength of available evidence – including
testimonials, and his record as Head of State – the allegations are
implausible. In his book Honour For Sale, Debo Bashorun, one-time
Nigerian presidential spokesperson (during the regime of military
dictator Ibrahim Babangida, who overthrew Buhari in August 1985)
suggests that Babangida, not Buhari, was the one who tolerated religious
fundamentalism. Bashorun writes of the “sudden re-emergence” during
Babangida’s time, of “self-proclaimed clerics and Islamic
fundamentalists whose nocturnal and divisive activities had earlier been
effectively curtailed during the Buhari/Idiagbon administration.” As
head of state Buhari showed little mercy or tolerance towards religious
extremists or militant challengers of the Nigerian state whether they
were Chadian bandits laying siege to the northeast at that time Boko
Haram, or the rump of the Maitatsine sect, a 1980s precursor of Boko
Haram. A similar approach to Boko Haram will be required.
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