The Central Bank of Nigeria has issued a new circular on Friday
announcing that it has given Bureau De Change operators (BDC) permission
to buy forex sold from International Money Transfers.
The
circular titled “Sale of Foreign Currency Proceeds of International
Money Transfers to Bureaux De Change Operators” read in part that
“Authorized dealers who are agents of International Money Transfer
Operators are hereby authorized to sell foreign currency accruing from
inward money remittances to licensed Bureaux De Change Operators (BDC’s)
with effect from the date of the circular.”
The Central Bank also instructed that proceeds of the remittances shall be sold only to the retail end
of the market.
ImplicationWhat
this means is that proceeds from forex inflows such as Western Union or
Money Gram can now be sold to the BDC’s. Before now banks were under
instruction to sell most of the forex back to the CBN whilst paying
beneficiaries in Naira. With this new instruction, beneficiaries will
still collect their money in Naira but banks can now sell the dollars
directly to the BDCs helping creating liquidity at the retail end.
Foreign remittances to Nigeria was thought to be around $21 billion in
2015 alone.
Analysts inform Nairametrics that the CBN has taken
this decision to trigger a flow of forex supply to the retail end of the
market which has been starved of dollars since a rash of CBN policies
earlier in the year that has done more harm than good. Retail buyers of
forex who need it to pay for school fees, travel on summer vacations
have been shut out of the forex market making them to rely heavily on
the parallel market to meet their demand. This has expectedly driven up
cost of the dollar in the black market exchanging for as high as N379.
The premium between the official rate and the black market rate is now
over N70 to the dollar.
So rather than have banks stash their
vaults with dollars they can’t sell, they pump the money into the retail
end of the market hoping that it will drive down the price of the
dollar in the black market
Banks back in play?This
decision has its own risk considering that we have been here before.
Operators inform Nairametrics that at the policy was in place for banks
to sell forex directly to BDC operators, staffs of Treasury department
of most commercial banks use this as an opportunity to make “fast
bucks”. An operator explained to Nairametrics that rather than sell
dollars at the prescribed official rate (before floating), Treasury
staffs will sell to BDC operators at an extra premium and then pocket
the difference.
For example, if the approved rate was N200 they
will sell to BDCs at N220. BDC who were not willing to play ball will be
informed that there are no dollars to sell. The willing BDC who agree
to play will now have to issue two cheques, one at the rate of N200 and
the other N20. The former will be in the Bank’s name whilst the latter
will be in the name of a personal account produced by the Treasury
Staff.
Whilst this practice worked perfectly well when the
exchange rate was pegged we inquired if it could work now that the
currency is floating. The operator informed Nairametrics that it was
still possible because of the currency disparity between the interbank
market and parallel market creating an incentive for arbitrage. The
“Treasury guys are just too powerful and can still decide who they want
to sell to” we were informed.
Whilst this latest move by the CBN
may help reduce the scarcity of dollars in the retail end of the market,
the fact that the rate disparity still exist remains a big problem.
Another issue pointed out is the 41 banned items. With this ban still in
place, it is believed that pressure will still be placed in the black
market as hardline importers will still rely on that market to fund
their transactions. Whilst this holds true, Nairametrics believe the
impact is not as huge as suggested. The current depreciation at the
black market we believe is mostly due to parents scrambling to get forex
for their summer holiday.
Source: Nairametrics
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